Will the Dallas Cowboys cover the spread in the game against the New Orleans Saints in week 16?

This game is another NFC Conference showdown. With an 8 and 6 record Dallas is tied with Washington and the NY Giants for the lead in the NFC East, and New Orleans at 6 and 8 is tied with Tampa Bay for second in the NFC South.

Many would look at that record and might be quick to choose the Cowboys over the Saints, but let’s look closer at this. These two currently have the 3rd and 8th ranked offense in the league. The Saints ranked 3rd overall and 2nd in passing. Dallas ranked 8th overall and 4th in passing.

One would automatically see that we have a few teams here that certainly like to throw the football. Looking at the quarterback’s stats for each team, we see that they each have over 4000 yards and are completing in the low to mid 60% range.

In each of the last 3 games Dallas quarterback Tony Romo threw for 268 to 341 yards in each game. In the last 3 Saints games, Drew Brees quarterback for New Orleans has thrown for 307 to 354 yards in each game.

Dallas is coming into this game after winning the last 4 games straight, and also note they have won 5 of the last 6 games, losing only to the Redskins. New Orleans has only won 1 of their last 3 games, and only 3 of their last 6.

When we look at the defenses of each team we see the underlying reason. The New Orleans Saints have the worst ranked defense in the league this year. They have allowed more yards per game than any other team, and are 31st against the pass.

I do not see the Dallas offensive line having a lot of trouble giving Romo the kind of time he needs to possibly take control and set the pace of their offensive drives. The Saints also have the worst record for first downs allowed and kind of adds to their overall rank.

The Cowboy defense has a ranking of 14th and is 14th against the pass, but Drew Brees is why the Saints are 2nd in the league in passing so it will certainly be an interesting game with a lot of play action.

What is the point spread on the game between the Cowboys and the Saints?

As of Friday evening the bookies had the odds on this with Dallas winning with the spread at 1 point. I think that is a somewhat fair assessment. Both teams have shown they can make some of the big plays needed to win games, and Dallas has shown that more the last few weeks, so they have earned that edge.

I think I could easily justify a bet on either team as long as the spread was at only 1 point. I can see cases where I could argue for either side, which is what a friend of mine over at OddsOnBetting and I do each week with our “Offsides” articles.

But in the case of the odds on the Saints Cowboys game, I say take the Cowboys and give up the point. I would like to feel otherwise, but after the game 3 weeks ago where Brees threw 5 interceptions, and 2 last week against the Giants, it’s hard to have confidence in the Saints.

I say even if the line was higher I would probably take Dallas, but who knows, the Saints may eaven come out and kick the Cowboys butts, but I don’t think I would bet on that happening.

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